For tonight in our neighborhood, expect a few spotty overnight showers as moisture associated with Danny moves in from the East…
For tomorrow, scattered thunderstorms are back in the forecast for most of the day, as more tropical moisture leftover from Danny heads our way. Plan on needing your umbrella & rain gear tomorrow, especially during the afternoon. We may see brief heavy rain and occasional thunder & lightning, although no organized severe weather is expected. Also expecting warm & muggy conditions when we’re not seeing the rain…afternoon highs in the mid to upper 80s with very muggy conditions.
As more deep moisture is expected to hang around this week, daily rain chances for the Birmingham area will remain at no less than 40% for Wednesday & Thursday. As an approaching cold front moves towards Alabama from the North on Friday, that chance increases to 70%. Cold fronts are rare for this time of year, but thankfully, this one does not appear to be strong enough for us to worry about potential severe weather.
The aforementioned cold front looks like it could push South through our area late on Saturday, possibly with drier, cooler conditions for the 4th of July. The latest forecast models are currently split on this idea, however…the GFS has this front stalling to our North with showers & storms continuing all weekend long, while the Euro is more optimistic with the showers clearing out as early as Saturday evening. We’ll continue to watch how this trend moves around…for now, going with a 30% chance of rain Saturday, only a 20% chance for Sunday.