Tropical Storm Elsa continues to get better organized as it sits to the east of the Lesser Antilles. It will continue to move quickly to the west and northwest across the islands and into the Caribbean on Friday as a tropical storm. The forecast track takes it across the northern Caribbean all weekend and into Cuba by Sunday as a strong tropical storm. It is expected to cross Cuba on Monday and possibly into the SE Gulf of Mexico to start next week.
Elsa is now the earliest known 5th named storm on record in the Atlantic. It breaks the record formerly held by Edouard on July 6, 2020.
There is still plenty of uncertainty with the extended forecast track. Right now, the forecast models have this system moving across the far eastern Gulf and possibly impacting Florida. However, it will have to survive its track across the Caribbean and over the islands. This will be something to watch. It is way too early to say if we will have any impacts across Alabama later next week. Stay tuned for updates.
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