Tracking The Tropics: Grace made landfall on the Yucatan Peninsula this morning. Henri becomes a hurricane on Friday

Tracking the Tropics
October 02 2021 06:00 pm

Tracking the Tropics: Grace made landfall around 4:45 AM in Tulum, Mexico this morning as a Category 1 hurricane with winds of 80 mph. It will weaken briefly over land and enter the southern Gulf of Mexico on Friday. Once it is back over water, Grace is expected to strengthen back into a Category 1 Hurricane. Landfall is forecast to be over the main part of Mexico this weekend.

Tropical Storm Henri is trying to get stronger since it is over warm water, but will continue to battle wind shear today as it sits between Bermuda and the U.S. in the Atlantic. Due to the wind shear, it is expected to maintain its intensity for the next few days. After that time, Henri is forecast to get stronger as the wind shear relaxes, and it turns north under an upper-level ridge of high pressure. This favorable weather pattern should allow Henri to become a Category 1 hurricane on Friday.

It will turn toward the N to NE tracking just off the U.S East Coast. However, there is some uncertainty as to how close it will get to the U.S. East Coast when it makes the turn, and how close it will be to the New England area on Sunday. Some of the forecast models are now showing Henri making a landfall very close to Massachusetts as a hurricane on Sunday. It is too early to make that call. NOAA is sending the Gulfstream IV aircraft up to get upper-level weather data, and that will be ingested into the forecast models to reduce the large track spread between the models.

Elsewhere…the rest of the tropics are quiet.

That’s all for now!  Be sure to follow the CBS 42 Storm Team on:

Facebook: Chief Meteorologist Ashley Gann, Meteorologist Dave Nussbaum, Meteorologist Griffin Hardy and Meteorologist Michael Haynes

Twitter: @Gannweather, @Dave_Nussbaum, @GriffinHardyWX, @MichaelHaynes for more Birmingham weather updates anytime!

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