Tracking The Tropics: Grace is now a hurricane and Henri forecast to become one on Friday

Tracking the Tropics
October 02 2021 06:00 pm

Tracking the Tropics: The remnants of Fred are moving across the Ohio Valley states. Heavy rain and tornadoes are expected from Virginia to Pennsylvania.

We now have Hurricane Grace in the western Caribbean south of Cuba or west of Grand Cayman. It is moving toward the west and will move along the southern edge of a mid-level ridge of high pressure that is over the Gulf of Mexico. This track keeps Grace moving south of Cuba toward the Yucatan Peninsula in the next 24 hours. It will move over very warm deep water with high ocean heat content, but the wind shear is expected to be moderate, so this will keep it from getting too strong. Grace is forecast to be at least a Category 1 hurricane as it makes landfall on the Yucatan Peninsula Thursday. Some of the intensity models show that it could become a Category 2 hurricane. Then it will weaken briefly over land and enter the southern Gulf of Mexico on Friday. Once it is back over water, Grace is expected to strengthen back into a Category 1 Hurricane. Landfall is forecast to be over northern Mexico this weekend.  

Tropical Storm Henri is now expected to remain over warm water but will battle wind shear today as it sits southwest of Bermuda in the Atlantic. It is expected to maintain its intensity for the next 3 days as it battles some moderate wind shear. After that time, Henri is forecast to get stronger as the wind shear relaxes and become a hurricane. It will turn toward the NW to N to NE tracking clockwise between the U.S East Coast and Bermuda. Some of the forecast models are now showing Henri coming closer to the NE U.S. just off the New England Coast. Right now, there is some uncertainty in the extended forecast, but there is a chance it could track very close to Massachusetts as a hurricane on Sunday.

Elsewhere…the rest of the tropics are quiet.

That’s all for now!  Be sure to follow the CBS 42 Storm Team on:

Facebook: Chief Meteorologist Ashley Gann, Meteorologist Dave Nussbaum, Meteorologist Griffin Hardy and Meteorologist Michael Haynes

Twitter: @Gannweather, @Dave_Nussbaum, @GriffinHardyWX, @MichaelHaynes for more Birmingham weather updates anytime!

This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is CBS-42-Storm-Team-June-2021.jpeg

Copyright 2021 Nexstar Media Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.