Tracking the Tropics: Eastward Shift in Eta’s track; Will pulls away from Alabama.

Tracking the Tropics
July 04 2021 12:00 am

10 P.M. CST Tuesday: We’re still tracking Tropical Storm Eta in the Southern Gulf of Mexico.  Eta is on the move and heading Northeast. The latest models have been in the bets agreement since this storm moved across Cuba.

Here’s the latest track from the National Hurricane Center.  As of right now, the expected track North is expected to prevail for the rest of the week, with Eta’s strength holding at a tropical storm.  By Friday/Saturday, the storm should be closing in somewhere in the vicinity of NE Florida, traveling from Tampa to Jacksonville.

The latest spaghetti plot shows the best agreement thus far, which gives us better confidence as to the track and landfall of this system. There’s almost no consistency between each forecast model, so expect more forecast changes as we move closer to the weekend.

Finally, we have another area of interest identified by the National Hurricane Center in the Eastern Caribbean.  Currently, it has a 70% chance of development over the next 5 days.  If it does develop, this would become Tropical Storm Iota, as the list of Greek alphabet names continues running thinner.

That’s all for now!  Be sure to download the free CBS 42 Storm Team Weather App for up-to-the-minute weather alerts in YOUR area.  Also, give me a follow on Twitter @GriffinHardyWX for more weather updates from across Alabama & the Southeast.  Have a good night!

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