Megaputer releases model to make 30-day predictions of COVID-19 cases in states and countries

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(GLOBE NEWSWIRE/WIAT) — Megaputer Intelligence is an interactive report that wants to provide federal and local authorities with reliable models that predict the development of the virus at different locations to help determine when they can restart economic activities.

This interactive report makes 30-day predictions of COVID-19 confirmed and active cases, recoveries and deaths, along with the dates and locations of possible shortages of medical resources on the county level. The predictions are based on machine learning / AI models developed using PolyAnalyst™. They consider the past data on COVID-19 evolution, characteristics of each county (population, climate, and demographic profile), mutual influence of different locations in the US, and the data on COVID-19 progression in other countries.

Megaputer Intelligence is a leading developer of data and text mining software and custom analytic solutions for various application domains. Megaputer analytical tools enable over 500 customers worldwide to make informed data-driven decisions. Megaputer and PolyAnalyst are registered trademarks of Megaputer Intelligence Inc. in the United States and/or other countries.

Instead of a single peak in the new confirmed COVID-19 cases for the US followed by a steep drop, our model predicts a long plateau of relatively high new confirmed cases extending through May 21st and a slow decline after that. The main reason is that while the states that got infected early like New York, Louisiana, Michigan, New Jersey, Florida, and Georgia are seeing significant declines in the number of new cases, for many other states like Illinois, Virginia, Maryland, Texas, Ohio, Wisconsin, Minnesota, California and Arizona the number of new COVID-19 cases are predicted to keep climbing for a while. Armed with the understanding of COVID-19 evolution on an individual county level, authorities should be able to orchestrate a safe and speedy return to normal life.

Sergei Ananyan, Ph.D., CEO, Megaputer Intelligence

Megaputer offers free public use a new forecast for the number of COVID-19 cases and peak dates for individual US states and counties.

All data sources used in the modeling include the CDC, WHO, the US Census, NYT, and JHU. The reports can be seen, here and interactive graphic reports are, here.


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